The Netflix Law, Or, You Can’t Reinvent The Wheel

This is sort of a strange news post that also gives you better insight into how one of the greatest content resellers on earth, Netflix, operates.

Thanks to Microsoft and Google, it’s very, VERY, easy to see that it’s pretty simple to make huge pots of cash when you don’t have to make and ship a product.  Digital download is the way things are moving, and with them, the need for warehousing, storage, and production costs are falling through the floor.

But, as Netflix has shown us in a development the Motley Fool refers to as “The Netflix Law”, it’s extremely difficult to improve on software.

Sure, we’ve all seen new versions of Windows come out every few years reliably–but how many of us are rushing to upgrade?  My laptop and my backup desktop BOTH run Windows XP.  I’m two versions behind–is that stopping me from computing?  Not hardly, kids.  I’ve tried Vista, and I’m not terribly happy with it.  I’m not hugely upset with it, but I’m not falling all over myself to change.  Netflix ran into this exact problem when it offered its million dollar Netflix Prize, a chance for users to improve the recommendation system.  The best they could get was really only an incremental improvement over the original, and that took three years to generate about a ten percent improvement.

So while hardware will be running under Moore’s Law (performance doubles every eighteen months on average), software will be lucky if it gets eighteen percent better every two years.  Software has to take an early lead and hope to hold it, just like Netflix has done so far.

Friday, November 20th, 2009

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Monday, November 9th, 2009

Microsoft Unveils its Thinnest Keyboard Yet!

Thursday, September 10th, 2009

Microsoft: TV’s time is limited

Tuesday, September 1st, 2009

The DUO Transforms Standard Monitors to Touch Screen Displays

Monday, August 24th, 2009

Zune HD Available for Pre-Order

Thursday, August 13th, 2009

Windows 7 gets Netflix Watch Instantly

Friday, July 31st, 2009

Microsoft Mulling External Blu-Ray Drive Offering

Saturday, July 25th, 2009

Averatec 25.5-inch D1200 All-in-One Computer

Monday, June 8th, 2009

Xbox 360 Able to Download 1080p Video By Fall 2009

Friday, June 5th, 2009

Netflix Watch Instantly Available to Windows Vista Media Center Users

Wednesday, May 20th, 2009

Microsoft Presents New Wireless Mobile Mouse Range

Wednesday, May 20th, 2009

Roxio Burn for Windows 7 Released

Thursday, April 30th, 2009

Albatron 22-Inch LCD Comes with Multi-touch in March

Tuesday, January 20th, 2009

Netflix Fires 50 Support Specialists, Blames it on Silverlight

Wednesday, December 10th, 2008